Website developed by Natalnet's Lab (UFRN) with predictions results of COVID-19 pandemic dynamics using a data driven approach for Brazil states, based on data from more advanced countries. We present the data divided in four tabs: MAE Models results, LSTM results, Statistical Analysis and Cluster Data.
WARNING: The information presented on this page are estimated predictions and cannot be interpreted as being entirely reliable, as the computations are based on current parameters that can change if the behavior of the population changes. This are the initial results of a scientific study and is still expected to be improved as new data are produced. We do not take responsibility for the use of these data. The data are exclusively for scientific communication.
Map Copyright (c) 2016 Lucas Bassetti
Rio Grande do Norte
Last Update: Jun 13 *
Daily Cases
Cumulative Cases
The gray area corresponds to the moving average of 14 days, i.e., these values could change in the next updates.
Daily Cases
Cumulative Cases
Map Copyright (c) 2016 Lucas Bassetti
Rio Grande do Norte
| State | MAE Predicted | Curve fit peak | Best curve | Cases | 97% Cases |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TO | 2020-05-20 | 2020-05-20 | Pearson | 846 | 2020-06-13 |
| SE | 2020-05-21 | 2020-05-22 | Lognormal | 2546 | 2020-06-13 |
| MG | 2020-05-21 | 2020-05-17 | Logistic | 2992 | 2020-06-03 |
| MS | 2020-05-21 | 2020-05-24 | Pearson | 327 | 2020-05-28 |
| PA | 2020-06-01 | 2020-06-03 | Pearson | 10332 | 2020-06-11 |
| AP | 2020-05-20 | 2020-05-20 | Logistic | 5172 | 2020-06-15 |
| MA | 2020-05-14 | 2020-05-14 | Logistic | 9684 | 2020-06-10 |
| CE | 2020-05-30 | 2020-05-28 | Pearson | 11556 | 2020-05-29 |
| PE | 2020-05-29 | 2020-05-30 | Pearson | 18210 | 2020-06-08 |
| RJ | 2020-05-31 | 2020-05-31 | Logistic | 21587 | 2020-06-07 |
| SP | 2020-05-28 | 2020-05-26 | Logistic | 64984 | 2020-06-07 |
| RN | 2020-05-20 | 2020-05-21 | Burr | 6025 | 2020-07-06 |
| DF | 2020-05-25 | 2020-05-27 | Logistic | 6347 | 2020-07-06 |
| RO | 2020-05-21 | 2020-05-24 | Pearson | 3061 | 2020-08-10 |
| PI | 2020-05-20 | 2020-05-24 | Pearson | 4974 | 2020-08-13 |
| PB | 2020-05-21 | 2020-05-26 | Pearson | 8765 | 2020-08-14 |
| AL | 2020-05-21 | 2020-05-26 | Pearson | 8119 | 2020-08-11 |
| BA | 2020-05-19 | 2020-05-19 | Pearson | 8945 | 2020-08-04 |
| ES | 2020-05-21 | 2020-05-23 | Pearson | 18271 | 2020-08-12 |
| PR | 2020-05-21 | 2020-05-19 | Lognormal | 4038 | 2020-08-04 |
| SC | 2020-05-21 | 2020-05-26 | Pearson | 15329 | 2020-08-13 |
| RS | 2020-05-20 | 2020-05-20 | Gamma | 4269 | 2020-08-03 |
| MT | 2020-05-21 | 2020-05-25 | Pearson | 701 | 2020-07-30 |
| GO | 2020-05-22 | 2020-05-25 | Pearson | 2245 | 2020-08-03 |
| AC | 2020-05-20 | 2020-05-25 | Burr | 3490 | 2020-07-12 |
| AM | 2020-05-20 | 2020-05-26 | Burr | 16053 | 2020-07-04 |
| RR | 2020-05-20 | 2020-05-24 | Burr | 2206 | 2020-07-07 |