COVID-19 - NATALNET LAB'S - UFRN

Website developed by Natalnet's Lab (UFRN) with predictions results of COVID-19 pandemic dynamics using a data driven approach for Brazil states, based on data from more advanced countries. We present the data divided in four tabs: MAE Models results, LSTM results, Statistical Analysis and Cluster Data.

WARNING: The information presented on this page are estimated predictions and cannot be interpreted as being entirely reliable, as the computations are based on current parameters that can change if the behavior of the population changes. This are the initial results of a scientific study and is still expected to be improved as new data are produced. We do not take responsibility for the use of these data. The data are exclusively for scientific communication.

Rio Grande do Norte

Last Update: Jun 03

Daily Cases

Cumulative Cases

The gray area corresponds to the moving average of 14 days, i.e., these values could change in the next updates.

Daily Cases

Cumulative Cases

State MAE Predicted Curve fit peak Best curve Cases 97% Cases
TO 2020-05-10 2020-05-10 Pearson 846 2020-06-13
SE 2020-05-09 2020-05-10 Lognormal 2546 2020-06-13
MG 2020-05-04 2020-04-30 Logistic 2992 2020-06-03
MS 2020-04-25 2020-04-24 Pearson 327 2020-05-28
PA 2020-05-09 2020-05-10 Pearson 10332 2020-06-11
AP 2020-05-12 2020-05-12 Logistic 5172 2020-06-15
MA 2020-05-07 2020-05-07 Logistic 9684 2020-06-10
CE 2020-04-30 2020-04-28 Pearson 11556 2020-05-29
PE 2020-05-04 2020-05-05 Pearson 18210 2020-06-08
RJ 2020-05-05 2020-05-05 Logistic 21587 2020-06-07
SP 2020-05-08 2020-05-06 Logistic 64984 2020-06-07
RN 2020-05-15 2020-05-13 Burr 6025 2020-07-06
DF 2020-05-16 2020-05-17 Logistic 6347 2020-07-06
RO 2020-05-12 2020-05-14 Pearson 3061 2020-08-10
PI 2020-05-16 2020-05-19 Pearson 4974 2020-08-13
PB 2020-05-16 2020-05-21 Pearson 8765 2020-08-14
AL 2020-05-11 2020-05-19 Pearson 8119 2020-08-11
BA 2020-05-07 2020-05-08 Pearson 8945 2020-08-04
ES 2020-05-16 2020-05-17 Pearson 18271 2020-08-12
PR 2020-05-10 2020-05-07 Lognormal 4038 2020-08-04
SC 2020-05-16 2020-05-20 Pearson 15329 2020-08-13
RS 2020-05-08 2020-05-08 Gamma 4269 2020-08-03
MT 2020-04-30 2020-30-04 Pearson 701 2020-07-30
GO 2020-05-03 2020-05-05 Pearson 2245 2020-08-03
AC 2020-05-14 2020-05-07 Burr 3490 2020-07-12
AM 2020-05-05 2020-05-16 Burr 16053 2020-07-04
RR 2020-05-09 2020-05-10 Burr 2206 2020-07-07